Nevada Voters Favor Tip Tax Ban in Latest Poll
PHOENIX (October 3, 2024)- According to recent public opinion polling data from Noble Predictive Insights’ (NPI) latest Nevada Public Opinion Pulse (NVPOP), Donald Trump holds a slight advantage over Kamala Harris on the issue of banning taxes on tips in Nevada.
This NVPOP, conducted from September 9–16, 2024, surveyed 812 registered voters in Nevada, yielding a margin of error of ± 3.44%.
In the debate over taxing tips, both Trump and Harris have aligned in their positions, pledging to eliminate taxes on tips. However, Trump holds a slight edge with voters on this issue – 47% of voters trust Trump on this issue compared to Harris’s 40%.
“While both candidates have taken similar stances on this issue, Trump’s slight lead likely stems from the Republican Party’s long-standing reputation for supporting tax cuts. This historical association seems to be resonating with voters, even in a case where both candidates are proposing similar policies,” said Mike Noble, NPI Founder & CEO.
Impact on Voter Behavior
The State of Nevada has the highest concentration of tipped workers in the nation, by far – more than twice the national average. Tip-related issues are especially impactful to Nevadans, and this poll finds that the major presidential candidates’ stances to support legislation banning tax on tips makes 47% of Nevada voters more likely to vote this November – 29% who would be “much more likely.”
Eliminating taxes on tips brings some disparate groups together. Republicans align with younger voters, Hispanic/Latinos, and urban voters as the groups made more likely to vote by Trump and Harris’ tip tax stance. Meanwhile, the voting plans of older voters, Independents, White voters, and those with higher incomes remain unaffected by this issue.
“What we're seeing here is a microcosm of the larger economic debate playing out in Nevada. The tip tax issue touches on broader themes of worker rights, tax policy, and economic fairness. How the candidates navigate this issue could provide valuable insights into their overall economic strategies and their ability to connect with working-class voters,” said David Byler, NPI Chief of Research.
The NVPOP Dashboard is now updated with the data from this release!
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Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel and text-to-online survey. The survey was completed by Noble Predictive Insights from September 9–16, 2024 from a Nevada statewide registered voter sample. The sample included 812 registered voters, and 692 likely general election voters (determined via screening questions). The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education according to recent voter file data, the Nevada Secretary of State’s Office, and recent Census data. The margin of error was ± 3.44% for registered voters and ± 3.72% for likely voters. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. Poll report can be found here
Media Contact:
Veronica Sutliff, Noble Predictive Insights, v.sutliff@npredictive.com
About Noble Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan public opinion polling, market research, and data analytics firm, Noble Predictive Insights exists to transform how leaders make decisions by delivering data-based solutions and predictive insights that provide a clear path forward. We bridge the gap between research and strategy with customized strategic research, a hyper-focus on impact, and being true partners with our clients. Noble Predictive Insights (formerly OH Predictive Insights) is a 2023 Inc. 5000 fastest-growing company in the Southwest region, and is ranked in the top 15 most accurate pollsters as well as in the top 5 for lowest average bias in the 2021-22 election cycle by FiveThirtyEight. For more information, please call (602) 641-6565 or visit our website at www.noblepredictiveinsights.com.